Kidderminster Harriersvs
Yeovil Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kidderminster Harriers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Yeovil Town
Original prediction
Kidderminster Harriers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.8% | 46.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 26.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.0% | 27.0% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Kidderminster Harriers
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Kidderminster Harriers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20