Kidderminster Harriersvs
Sutton Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kidderminster Harriers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 Sutton Utd, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Sutton Utd
Original prediction
Kidderminster Harriers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.1% | 44.0% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.5% | 29.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.3% | 26.9% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Projected Score
Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Sutton Utd
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kidderminster Harriers
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Kidderminster Harriers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80