Kidderminster Harriersvs
Solihull Moors
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kidderminster Harriers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kidderminster Harriers 2-1 Solihull Moors
Original prediction
Kidderminster Harriers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.4% | 42.8% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 26.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.3% | 30.7% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kidderminster Harriers
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Kidderminster Harriers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40