Kidderminster Harriersvs
Hartlepool
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kidderminster Harriers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 Hartlepool
Original prediction
Kidderminster Harriers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.1% | 42.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 28.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.2% | 28.9% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Kidderminster Harriers
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Kidderminster Harriers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80