Kidderminster Harriersvs
Gateshead
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kidderminster Harriers · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 Gateshead
Original prediction
Kidderminster Harriers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.5% | 63.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.3% | 21.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 6.03 | 15.2% | 15.7% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Kidderminster Harriers
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Kidderminster Harriers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20