Kidderminster Harriersvs
Barrow
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kidderminster Harriers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Barrow
Original prediction
Kidderminster Harriers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.7% | 47.6% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.9% | 25.6% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.3% | 26.8% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Kidderminster Harriers
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Kidderminster Harriers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60