Kickers Offenbachvs
SGV Freiberg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SGV Freiberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kickers Offenbach 1-1 SGV Freiberg
Original prediction
SGV Freiberg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 28.7% | 31.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.1% | 27.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.1% | 41.4% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
SGV Freiberg
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
SGV Freiberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40