Kickers Offenbachvs
FC 08 Homburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kickers Offenbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kickers Offenbach 2-2 FC 08 Homburg
Original prediction
Kickers Offenbach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.5% | 41.9% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 27.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.0% | 30.3% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Kickers Offenbach
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Kickers Offenbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20