Kickers Emdenvs
Phönix Lübeck
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phönix Lübeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-5 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kickers Emden 2-2 Phönix Lübeck
Original prediction
Phönix Lübeck
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.25 | 27.8% | 14.7% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.3% | 13.8% | -9.5 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.9% | 71.5% | 22.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–58%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Phönix Lübeck
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Phönix Lübeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20