GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 8/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khujand · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Khujand are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sardor Tursunzoda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Khujand hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.7% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khujand holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khujand

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

17.7%

Khujand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhujandDWLDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sardor TursunzodaWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KhujandSardor Tursunzoda
30.8Attack43.6
71.8Defence41.0
43.6Form23.1
50.3Power37.5
1.21xG0.65
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