Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khujand · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Khujand are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Parvoz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Khujand hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 38.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.1% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khujand holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khujand
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
22.1%
Khujand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60