Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khujand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Khujand are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Merw are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Merw hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the AFC Champions League Two, while Khujand holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khujand
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Khujand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00