GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khujand · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Khujand are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Istaravshan are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Khujand hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 30.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.9% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khujand holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khujand

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

21.9%

Khujand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhujandDWWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
IstaravshanDDLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KhujandIstaravshan
30.8Attack30.6
71.8Defence38.9
43.6Form13.9
50.3Power30.8
1.28xG0.44
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