Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khujand · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Khujand are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Eskhata are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Khujand hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khujand holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khujand
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Khujand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20