Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khroub · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Khroub 1-0 Teleghma, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Khroub 2-2 Teleghma
Original prediction
Khroub
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 54.6% | 43.4% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.8% | 30.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.04 | 17.7% | 26.3% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Projected Score
Khroub 1–0 Teleghma
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Khroub
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Khroub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KhroubDWDWW
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TeleghmaLLDLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
KhroubTeleghma
11.1Attack33.3
100.0Defence44.4
55.6Form11.1
59.1Power32.9
1.22xG0.75