Khovd Westernvs
Amtat FC
COMPLETEDMongolia · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khovd Western · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khovd Western 1-3 Amtat FC
Original prediction
Khovd Western
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 08:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.6% | 51.5% | 11.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 18.9% | 18.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.5% | 29.7% | -11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–36%
Predicted outcome
Khovd Western
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Khovd Western has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 29 · avg 2.00/5.80
GF 9 · GA 24 · avg 1.80/4.80