GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 5/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khosilot Farkhor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Khosilot Farkhor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Khujand are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Khosilot Farkhor hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.7% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khosilot Farkhor holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khosilot Farkhor

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

17.7%

Khosilot Farkhor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khosilot FarkhorWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KhujandLLDDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Khosilot FarkhorKhujand
73.8Attack30.8
61.9Defence71.8
66.7Form43.6
67.3Power50.3
1.41xG0.61
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