GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khosilot Farkhor · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Khosilot Farkhor are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Istaravshan are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Khosilot Farkhor hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 30.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khosilot Farkhor holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khosilot Farkhor

Probability

85.8%

Model confidence

14.1%

Khosilot Farkhor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khosilot FarkhorWWWDW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IstaravshanDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Khosilot FarkhorIstaravshan
73.8Attack30.6
61.9Defence38.9
66.7Form13.9
67.3Power30.8
3.24xG0.57
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