GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khosilot Farkhor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Khosilot Farkhor are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CSKA Pomir are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Khosilot Farkhor hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khosilot Farkhor holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khosilot Farkhor

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Khosilot Farkhor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khosilot FarkhorWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
CSKA PomirDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Khosilot FarkhorCSKA Pomir
73.8Attack41.0
61.9Defence64.1
66.7Form53.8
67.3Power55.1
1.76xG0.82
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