GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khorfakkan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Khorfakkan are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Emirates Club are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Khorfakkan hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Pro League, while Khorfakkan holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khorfakkan

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Khorfakkan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhorfakkanLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Emirates ClubDLLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KhorfakkanEmirates Club
45.3Attack39.1
30.7Defence26.1
30.7Form24.6
38.0Power32.6
2.23xG1.49
View match centre →