Khorfakkanvs
Baniyas SC
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/11/2026, 1:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khorfakkan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khorfakkan 0-0 Baniyas SC
Original prediction
Khorfakkan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 34.1% | 40.8% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.5% | 24.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 40.4% | 34.9% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Khorfakkan
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Khorfakkan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80