GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 4/21/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khorfakkan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khorfakkan are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Baniyas SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Baniyas SC hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Pro League, while Khorfakkan holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khorfakkan

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Khorfakkan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhorfakkanLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Baniyas SCLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KhorfakkanBaniyas SC
45.3Attack43.1
30.7Defence38.9
30.7Form33.3
38.0Power40.7
1.80xG1.68
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