GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/8/2026, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Wasl FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Khorfakkan 1-2 Al-Wasl FC

Original prediction

Al-Wasl FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home6.0914.8%24.2%9.4 pts
Draw4.6119.5%23.6%4.1 pts
Away1.3765.8%52.2%-13.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–27%

Predicted outcome

Al-Wasl FC

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Al-Wasl FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhorfakkanLLDLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Wasl FCWWLDW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KhorfakkanAl-Wasl FC
16.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power88.7
1.34xG2.19
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