GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/18/2026, 1:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Wahda FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Khorfakkan 2-3 Al Wahda FC

Original prediction

Al Wahda FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.8518.7%23.6%4.9 pts
Draw3.9922.8%24.1%1.3 pts
Away1.5558.5%52.3%-6.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–29%

Predicted outcome

Al Wahda FC

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Al Wahda FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhorfakkanLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al Wahda FCWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KhorfakkanAl Wahda FC
33.3Attack40.0
20.0Defence66.7
26.7Form60.0
29.7Power58.7
1.07xG1.81
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