GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/3/2025, 2:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khorfakkan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al Nasr are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhorfakkanLDWWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al NasrWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KhorfakkanAl Nasr
45.3Attack66.7
30.7Defence33.3
30.7Form33.3
38.0Power45.3
1.55xG2.09
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