GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/28/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Khorfakkan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Jazira

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhorfakkanLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-JaziraDWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KhorfakkanAl-Jazira
45.3Attack64.0
30.7Defence38.7
30.7Form42.7
38.0Power49.2
1.76xG2.55
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