GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/28/2024, 1:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khorfakkan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhorfakkanWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KhorfakkanAl-Ittihad Kalba
45.3Attack66.7
30.7Defence33.3
30.7Form33.3
38.0Power45.3
1.55xG2.09
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