Khorfakkanvs
Al-Dhafra
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 8/29/2026, 1:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khorfakkan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khorfakkan 2-0 Al-Dhafra
Original prediction
Khorfakkan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.2% | 40.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.2% | 26.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.6% | 33.7% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Khorfakkan
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Khorfakkan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80