Khon Kaen Unitedvs
Police Tero
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khon Kaen United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khon Kaen United 2-0 Police Tero
Original prediction
Khon Kaen United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.0% | 44.5% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.5% | 27.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.5% | 28.5% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Khon Kaen United
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Khon Kaen United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40