GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimki · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khimki are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Torpedo Moskva are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimki hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the First League, while Khimki holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimki

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Khimki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhimkiLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Torpedo MoskvaWDDDL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KhimkiTorpedo Moskva
54.9Attack40.0
61.8Defence66.7
64.7Form46.7
62.2Power53.0
1.42xG0.85
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