Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaluga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Khimki II are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Kaluga are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaluga hold a 39.4-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 81.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Second League - Group 3, while Kaluga holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kaluga
Probability
78.1%
Model confidence
78.1%
Kaluga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00