GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 7/29/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Khimik Vurnary are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Vurnary hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Second League - Group 4, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khimik VurnaryWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Uralets Nizhnyi TagilDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Khimik VurnaryUralets Nizhnyi Tagil
39.6Attack16.7
87.5Defence75.0
64.6Form37.5
65.5Power46.0
0.71xG0.35
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