GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 7/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ural II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk hold a 45.2-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

13.0%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khimik DzerzhinskWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ural IIDLWWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Khimik DzerzhinskUral II
91.7Attack51.7
76.7Defence31.7
88.3Form31.7
84.4Power39.2
3.94xG0.65
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