GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 5/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (84.4 v 66.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

64.3%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Khimik DzerzhinskWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodWLDWW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Khimik DzerzhinskPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
91.7Attack78.3
76.7Defence53.3
88.3Form70.0
84.4Power66.1
2.48xG1.07
View match centre →