Khimik Dzerzhinskvs
Akron II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khimik Dzerzhinsk 1-2 Akron II
Original prediction
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 70.9% | 75.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 19.7% | 15.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 9.50 | 9.4% | 9.5% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
75.3%
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40