Kheybar Khorramabadvs
Esteghlal Khuzestan
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kheybar Khorramabad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Original prediction
Kheybar Khorramabad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.7% | 51.5% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.65 | 34.0% | 28.6% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.4% | 19.9% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Projected Score
Kheybar Khorramabad 1–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Kheybar Khorramabad
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Kheybar Khorramabad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00