Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
USM Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Khenchela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while USM Alger are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and USM Alger hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Ligue 1, while USM Alger holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
USM Alger
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
16.3%
USM Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60