Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
USM Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Khenchela 0-0 USM Alger, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Khenchela 0-0 USM Alger
Original prediction
USM Alger
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.3% | 31.2% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.1% | 29.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.6% | 39.1% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Projected Score
Khenchela 0–0 USM Alger
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
USM Alger
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
USM Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KhenchelaWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
USM AlgerDDDLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KhenchelaUSM Alger
36.7Attack44.4
56.7Defence64.4
43.3Form54.4
47.7Power55.9
0.82xG1.08