Khenchelavs
CS Constantine
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 10/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khenchela 2-0 CS Constantine
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.6% | 34.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.5% | 29.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.9% | 35.4% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.9%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KhenchelaLDDWW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CS ConstantineWLWDL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KhenchelaCS Constantine
11.1Attack75.0
77.8Defence50.0
22.2Form58.3
40.2Power58.4
1.00xG1.14