Khenchelavs
Ben Aknoun
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khenchela 1-1 Ben Aknoun
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.7% | 36.2% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.2% | 30.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.0% | 33.2% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.88 · Draw 1.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.6%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KhenchelaDWWDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ben AknounDWDDL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KhenchelaBen Aknoun
0.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power64.8
1.00xG1.05