GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khatlon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khatlon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sardor Tursunzoda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Khatlon hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khatlon holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khatlon

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Khatlon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhatlonDLWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sardor TursunzodaDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KhatlonSardor Tursunzoda
47.6Attack47.6
54.8Defence38.1
42.9Form23.8
50.2Power38.2
1.97xG1.13
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