GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/16/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khosilot Farkhor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Khatlon are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Khosilot Farkhor are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Khosilot Farkhor hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khosilot Farkhor holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khosilot Farkhor

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

52.7%

Khosilot Farkhor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KhatlonWLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.33/1.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Khosilot FarkhorDWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
KhatlonKhosilot Farkhor
47.6Attack73.8
54.8Defence61.9
42.9Form66.7
50.2Power67.3
1.10xG1.92
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