Khatlonvs
Istaravshan
SCHEDULEDTajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khatlon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Khatlon are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Istaravshan are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Khatlon hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 30.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khatlon holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khatlon
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
13.5%
Khatlon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60