Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khalidiya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khalidiya 0-0 Nasaf
Original prediction
Khalidiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.2% | 42.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 27.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.5% | 30.6% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Khalidiya
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Khalidiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KhalidiyaDWWWL
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NasafLWWLL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KhalidiyaNasaf
66.7Attack38.9
0.0Defence44.4
0.0Form22.2
23.7Power38.2
1.75xG1.38