Khalidiyavs
Al Ittifaq Maqaba
COMPLETEDBahrain · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khalidiya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Khalidiya 2-2 Al Ittifaq Maqaba
Original prediction
Khalidiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.2% | 50.4% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.8% | 25.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.65 | 16.0% | 24.4% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Khalidiya
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Khalidiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80