Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khalidiya · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Khalidiya are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Al Ahli are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Khalidiya hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the Premier League, while Khalidiya holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khalidiya
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Khalidiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50