Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
KFUM Oslo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Rosenborg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosenborg hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Eliteserien, while Rosenborg holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
13.8%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40