Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KFUM Oslo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KFUM Oslo 2-1 Aalesund
Original prediction
KFUM Oslo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.8% | 40.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.3% | 22.1% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.9% | 37.6% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
KFUM Oslo
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
KFUM Oslo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KFUM OsloLLDWW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AalesundWLDDL
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KFUM OsloAalesund
35.1Attack52.6
42.1Defence24.6
33.3Form31.6
39.4Power38.6
1.72xG1.68