KFGvs
Vikingur Olafsiik
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 9/5/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vikingur Olafsiik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KFG 4-1 Vikingur Olafsiik
Original prediction
Vikingur Olafsiik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.6% | 35.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.0% | 18.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.3% | 45.7% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Vikingur Olafsiik
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Vikingur Olafsiik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40