Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
KFG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Haukar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Haukar hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (27.1 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the 2. Deild, while Haukar holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
85.0%
Model confidence
9.9%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40