Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fjolnir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
KFG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Fjolnir are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Fjolnir hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (27.1 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the 2. Deild, while Fjolnir holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fjolnir
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
8.1%
Fjolnir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60